Flood prediction: analyzing land use scenarios and strategies in Sumber Brantas and Kali Konto watersheds in East Java, Indonesia
This study evaluates land use scenarios for flood prediction in East Java, Indonesia, using Business-as-Usual (BAU), Regional Spatial Planning (RSP), and Land Capability (LC) approaches. Using multitemporal LULC data and the InVEST model, the study reveals that forest and agroforestry loss under BAU correlates with a 16% increase in flood hazard. In contrast, RSP and LC scenarios reduce flood risk by 16% and 10%, respectively. The LC scenario, which aligns land use with ecological capacity, proves most effective. These findings underscore the importance of integrating land capability into spatial planning to mitigate flood hazards and support sustainable watershed management.
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This works is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors
Putra, A.N.,Alfaani, S.F.,Saputra, D.D.,Andhika, Y.,Wisnubroto, E.I.,Admajaya, F.T.,Maritimo, F.,Paimin, S.K.,Kusumawati, I.A.,Prasetya, N.R.,Sugiarto, M.T.,Nita, I.,Sudarto, S.,Sujarwo, S.,Rayes, M.L.,Suprayogo, D.,Ismail, M.H.,van Noordwijk, M.
Publication year
2025
