Restoring forest cover at diverse sites across Canada can balance synergies and trade-offs

Swift action to restore forests is critical for mitigating climate change and preserving biodiversity. Canada has an ambitious program to plant two billion trees to help exceed the country’s emissions targets while restoring forest habitat and providing social and economic benefits. We conducted a systematic analysis of where new tree cover can maximally achieve these benefits while minimizing implementation costs. Accounting for critiques of global restoration mapping that include the overestimation of mitigation potential and inadequate biodiversity and social safeguards, we find that 19.1 Mha are available, which is much more than the approximately 1.2 Mha needed to plant two billion trees. Optimization scenarios for 1.2 Mha revealed synergies and trade-offs. Scenarios prioritizing low costs, accessibility, and high growth are concentrated in temperate and coastal areas, overlapping partly with biodiversity scenarios, but with trade-offs of higher costs. A diverse portfolio of regionally restored sites, each tailored for specific attributes, is most likely to deliver multiple benefits at the pace demanded by the current crises.


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Authors

Drever, C.R.,Long, A.M.,Cook-Patton, S.C.,Celanowicz, E.,Fargione, J.,Fisher, K.,Hounsell, S.,Kurz, W.A.,Mitchell, M.,Robinson, N.,Pither, R.,Schuster, R.,Deziel, V.,Xu, Z.

Publication year

2025

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